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Elena Rybakina vs Aryna Sabalenka Prediction, Head-to-Head, Odds & Pick - Matchstat.com
By Wojtek Kolan
At Matchstat.com we give you unbeatable in-depth analysis of past and current event tennis stats, to give you accurate tennis predictions, picks, odds and value bets. Let's dive in with our Rybakina vs Sabalenka analysis and find out who is favored!
Elena Rybakina vs Aryna Sabalenka Important H2H Prediction Stats:
- Second serve performance recent form: In recent form (last 6 months), Rybakina has won 49.32% of points on his second serve, while Sabalenka has won 49.08%. There is a high correlation between this stat and match prediction accuracy.
- Return game stats recent form: Return stats show Rybakina, in recent form, has won 57.85% of his opponent's second serve points, while Sabalenka has won 56.17%. The same stats for first serve returns are 36.15% and 37% respectively and this has a high correlation to pick who is favored in this H2H matchup.
- Under pressure analysis: Rybakina has saved 64.81% of breakpoints in recent form, whereas Sabalenka has saved 61.2% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
- Performance overview: Over the last year Rybakina has won 79.37% of matches played (W/L 50/ 13), with Sabalenka winning 76.92% (W/L 50/ 15) that gives us an overall head-to head prediction overview.
- Best surface: Rybakina has their best career surface win % on Grass, winning 75% (W/L 27/ 9), and worse career win % on Hard, winning 68% (W/L 149/ 70). Sabalenka has their best career surface win % on Hard, winning 71% (W/L 237/ 95), and worse career win % on Clay, winning 63% (W/L 78/ 45).
- Player level: In the last year, Rybakina has played most of their matches on the Masters series, winning 77.14% of matches (W/L 27/ 8), where as Sabalenka has played most of their matches on the Masters series, winning 70% of matches (W/L 21/ 9). When comparing stats between players to predict the favorite, it is of course all relative to the event level they have been playing at.
- Direct H2H matches: They have played 9 times before with Rybakina winning 3 times. They have played 24 sets in total, with Rybakina winning 12 and Sabalenka winning 12. The last match between Rybakina and Sabalenka was at the Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid, 02-05-2024, Semifinals, Clay with Aryna Sabalenka getting the victory 1-6 7-5 7-6(5).
- Head to head match duration: In past head to head matches, the average match time between these players has been 1:57:2.
- Deciding set H2H prediction: Rybakina and Sabalenka have played a deciding set 6 times, with Rybakina winning 0 times and Sabalenka 6 times. Very useful for predicting the outcome if this match goes the distance.
- Head-to-Head extreme pressure situations: They have played 2 tiebreaks against each other with Rybakina winning 1, and Sabalenka 1.
- Opponent quality stats: Over the last 12 months, Rybakina has played against opponents with an average rank of 80.86 while Sabalenka has played against players with an average rank of 69.38.
- Deciding set performance vs all players: If you are interested in live predictions and betting, if this match goes into a deciding set, Rybakina has won 70% of deciding sets over the last 12 months, while Sabalenka has won 52% in all matches played on tour.
- Break point conversion: In recent form, Rybakina has converted 40.65% of breakpoint opportunities, and Sabalenka has converted 46.92% of their chances to break their opponents serve. A telling stat for in-game live betting tips when either player has a breakpoint opportunity.
Head-to-head: Rybakina 3 - 6 Sabalenka
4
Rank
3
High
24
Age
R
Plays
3
Total6
3
Hard4
0
Clay1
0
Indoor0
0
Grass1
2
Rank
1
High
26
Age
R
Plays
L
W
W
W
W
W
W
W
W
L
Form
W
W
W
W
W
L
W
W
W
W
70% (320-138)
Career Total W/L
68% (392-181)
86% (30-5)
YTD W/L
80% (24-6)
$12,191,413
Career Prize Money
$19,601,614
3
YTD Titles
1
Currently displayed stats includes matches of all levels. To exclude lower level events (as per ATP / WTA official stats) toggle button in page footer.
| stats | Elena Rybakina | Aryna Sabalenka |
|---|---|---|
| All H2H Matches | 3 | 6 |
| Sets Won | 12 | 12 |
| Games Won | 114 | 111 |
| Aces (Total) | 73 | 58 |
| DFs (Total) | 32 | 57 |
| Avg Match Time | 1:57:2 | 1:57:2 |
| 1st Serve % | 60% (437/734) | 61% (479/779) |
| 1st Serve Win% | 70% (307/437) | 69% (331/479) |
| 2nd Serve Win% | 47% (141/297) | 46% (139/300) |
| BPs Won% (Total) | 38% (28/73) | 40% (26/65) |
| Return Points W% | 40% (309/779) | 39% (286/734) |
| Best of 3 Sets W% | 33% (3/9) | 67% (6/9) |
| Best of 5 Sets W% | 0% (0/0) | 0% (0/0) |
| TBs Win% (Total) | 50% (1/2) | 50% (1/2) |
| Deciding Set Win% | 0% (0/6) | 100% (6/6) |
| 1st set W, W | 60% (5/3) | 100% (4/4) |
| 1st set W, L | 40% (5/2) | 0% (4/0) |
| 1st set L, W | 0% (4/0) | 40% (5/2) |
| Winning Player | Losing Player | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1-6 7-5 7-6(5) |
Stats 
Aryna Sabalenka
Player
Elena Rybakina
64%
(
56 of
88)
1st Serve %
61%
(
65 of
106)
4
Aces
9
4
Double Faults
3
77%
(
43 of
56)
1st Serve Won
71%
(
46 of
65)
50%
(
16 of
32)
2nd Serve Won
59%
(
24 of
41)
38%
(
3 of
8)
Break Points Won
40%
(
4 of
10)
33%
(
29 of
88)
Rtn Points Won
34%
(
36 of
106)
95
Total Points Won
99
|
||||
| 6-0 6-3 |
Stats
Elena Rybakina
Player
Aryna Sabalenka
67%
(
30 of
45)
1st Serve %
62%
(
32 of
52)
7
Aces
3
0
Double Faults
1
73%
(
22 of
30)
1st Serve Won
53%
(
17 of
32)
60%
(
9 of
15)
2nd Serve Won
35%
(
7 of
20)
71%
(
5 of
7)
Break Points Won
100%
(
1 of
1)
31%
(
14 of
45)
Rtn Points Won
54%
(
28 of
52)
59
Total Points Won
38
|
||||
| 6-2 3-6 6-3 |
Stats
Aryna Sabalenka
Player
Elena Rybakina
61%
(
67 of
110)
1st Serve %
63%
(
51 of
81)
6
Aces
5
15
Double Faults
7
66%
(
44 of
67)
1st Serve Won
67%
(
34 of
51)
44%
(
19 of
43)
2nd Serve Won
40%
(
12 of
30)
50%
(
5 of
10)
Break Points Won
25%
(
3 of
12)
43%
(
47 of
110)
Rtn Points Won
43%
(
35 of
81)
98
Total Points Won
93
|
||||
| 7-5 6-2 |
Stats
Elena Rybakina
Player
Aryna Sabalenka
62%
(
39 of
63)
1st Serve %
50%
(
34 of
68)
12
Aces
4
1
Double Faults
8
77%
(
30 of
39)
1st Serve Won
74%
(
25 of
34)
50%
(
12 of
24)
2nd Serve Won
38%
(
13 of
34)
44%
(
4 of
9)
Break Points Won
100%
(
1 of
1)
33%
(
21 of
63)
Rtn Points Won
44%
(
30 of
68)
72
Total Points Won
59
|
||||
| 7-6(11) 6-4 |
Stats
Elena Rybakina
Player
Aryna Sabalenka
52%
(
47 of
91)
1st Serve %
63%
(
56 of
89)
7
Aces
4
2
Double Faults
10
64%
(
30 of
47)
1st Serve Won
68%
(
38 of
56)
52%
(
23 of
44)
2nd Serve Won
33%
(
11 of
33)
30%
(
3 of
10)
Break Points Won
33%
(
2 of
6)
42%
(
38 of
91)
Rtn Points Won
45%
(
40 of
89)
93
Total Points Won
87
|
||||
| 4-6 6-3 6-4 |
Stats
Aryna Sabalenka
Player
Elena Rybakina
65%
(
70 of
108)
1st Serve %
59%
(
62 of
105)
17
Aces
9
7
Double Faults
1
71%
(
50 of
70)
1st Serve Won
71%
(
44 of
62)
47%
(
18 of
38)
2nd Serve Won
44%
(
19 of
43)
23%
(
3 of
13)
Break Points Won
29%
(
2 of
7)
37%
(
40 of
108)
Rtn Points Won
40%
(
42 of
105)
110
Total Points Won
103
|
||||
| 6-3 4-6 6-3 |
Stats
Aryna Sabalenka
Player
Elena Rybakina
61%
(
54 of
88)
1st Serve %
56%
(
49 of
87)
10
Aces
10
2
Double Faults
7
67%
(
36 of
54)
1st Serve Won
73%
(
36 of
49)
53%
(
18 of
34)
2nd Serve Won
29%
(
11 of
38)
45%
(
5 of
11)
Break Points Won
50%
(
3 of
6)
39%
(
34 of
88)
Rtn Points Won
46%
(
40 of
87)
94
Total Points Won
81
|
||||
| 6-4 4-6 6-3 |
Stats
Aryna Sabalenka
Player
Elena Rybakina
64%
(
63 of
98)
1st Serve %
56%
(
44 of
79)
4
Aces
12
5
Double Faults
4
71%
(
45 of
63)
1st Serve Won
68%
(
30 of
44)
54%
(
19 of
35)
2nd Serve Won
60%
(
21 of
35)
43%
(
3 of
7)
Break Points Won
40%
(
2 of
5)
35%
(
34 of
98)
Rtn Points Won
35%
(
28 of
79)
92
Total Points Won
85
|
||||
| 6-3 1-6 6-1 |
Stats
Aryna Sabalenka
Player
Elena Rybakina
60%
(
47 of
78)
1st Serve %
65%
(
50 of
77)
6
Aces
2
5
Double Faults
7
70%
(
33 of
47)
1st Serve Won
70%
(
35 of
50)
58%
(
18 of
31)
2nd Serve Won
37%
(
10 of
27)
38%
(
3 of
8)
Break Points Won
29%
(
2 of
7)
35%
(
27 of
78)
Rtn Points Won
42%
(
32 of
77)
83
Total Points Won
72
|
||||
Stats Breakdown Vs All H2H Opponents
| stats | Elena Rybakina | Aryna Sabalenka |
|---|---|---|
| YTD W/L | 86% (30/5) | 80% (24/6) |
| Sets Win/Loss | 72% (60/23) | 72% (52/20) |
| Games Win/Loss | 58% (463/331) | 58% (390/279) |
| Hard Win/Loss | 85% (22/4) | 78% (14/4) |
| Clay Win/Loss | 89% (8/1) | 83% (10/2) |
| Indoor Hard W/L | 0% (0/0) | 0% (0/0) |
| Grass Win/Loss | 0% (0/0) | 0% (0/0) |
| Aces pg | 0.59 | 0.45 |
| Aces Total | 229 | 146 |
| DFs per game | 0.2 | 0.29 |
| DFs Total | 76 | 96 |
| Avg Match Time | 1:47:24 | 1:44:35 |
| Avg Opp Rank | 85.74 | 77.8 |
| 1st Serve % | 63% (1601/2560) | 64% (1367/2129) |
| 1st Serve W% | 72% (1155/1601) | 71% (974/1367) |
| 2nd Serve W% | 49% (473/959) | 49% (374/762) |
| BPs Won% Total | 41% (137/337) | 47% (122/260) |
| Return Pts W% | 44% (1159/2652) | 44% (972/2186) |
| Slam W/L | 50% (1/1) | 100% (7/0) |
| Masters W/L | 83% (15/3) | 75% (12/4) |
| Cups W/L | 0% (0/0) | 0% (0/0) |
| Main Tour W/L | 93% (14/1) | 71% (5/2) |
| Tour Finals W/L | 0% (0/0) | 0% (0/0) |
| Challenger W/L | 0% (0/0) | 0% (0/0) |
| Futures W/L | 0% (0/0) | 0% (0/0) |
| Best of 3 Sets W% | 85% (28/33) | 79% (23/29) |
| Best of 5 Sets W% | 0% (0/0) | 100% (1/1) |
| TBs Win% (Total) | 45% (5/11) | 67% (6/9) |
| Deciding Set W% | 87% (13/15) | 58% (7/12) |
| 1st set W, W | 96% (27/26) | 86% (21/18) |
| 1st set W, L | 4% (27/1) | 10% (21/2) |
| 1st set L, W | 38% (8/3) | 56% (9/5) |
Elena Rybakina Recent Matches Played
Before:
| opponent | Score | H2H | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SF |
Stats
Aryna Sabalenka
Player
Elena Rybakina
64%
(
56 of
88)
1st Serve %
61%
(
65 of
106)
4
Aces
9
4
Double Faults
3
77%
(
43 of
56)
1st Serve Won
71%
(
46 of
65)
50%
(
16 of
32)
2nd Serve Won
59%
(
24 of
41)
38%
(
3 of
8)
Break Points Won
40%
(
4 of
10)
33%
(
29 of
88)
Rtn Points Won
34%
(
36 of
106)
95
Total Points Won
99
|
1-6 7-5 7-6(5) | H2H | ||
| QF |
Stats
Elena Rybakina
Player
Yulia Putintseva
61%
(
71 of
117)
1st Serve %
76%
(
84 of
110)
6
Aces
0
8
Double Faults
2
70%
(
50 of
71)
1st Serve Won
63%
(
53 of
84)
48%
(
22 of
46)
2nd Serve Won
62%
(
16 of
26)
25%
(
3 of
12)
Break Points Won
30%
(
3 of
10)
38%
(
45 of
117)
Rtn Points Won
37%
(
41 of
110)
113
Total Points Won
114
|
4-6 7-6(4) 7-5 | H2H | ||
| R4 |
Stats
Elena Rybakina
Player
Sara Bejlek
67%
(
46 of
69)
1st Serve %
60%
(
31 of
52)
0
Aces
1
0
Double Faults
6
61%
(
28 of
46)
1st Serve Won
58%
(
18 of
31)
48%
(
11 of
23)
2nd Serve Won
19%
(
4 of
21)
60%
(
6 of
10)
Break Points Won
13%
(
2 of
15)
43%
(
30 of
69)
Rtn Points Won
58%
(
30 of
52)
69
Total Points Won
52
|
6-1 6-3 | H2H | ||
| R3 |
Stats
Elena Rybakina
Player
Mayar Sherif
49%
(
26 of
53)
1st Serve %
68%
(
47 of
69)
1
Aces
0
2
Double Faults
1
85%
(
22 of
26)
1st Serve Won
55%
(
26 of
47)
59%
(
16 of
27)
2nd Serve Won
50%
(
11 of
22)
23%
(
3 of
13)
Break Points Won
0%
(
0 of
3)
28%
(
15 of
53)
Rtn Points Won
46%
(
32 of
69)
70
Total Points Won
52
|
6-1 6-4 | H2H | ||
| R2 |
Stats
Elena Rybakina
Player
Lucia Bronzetti
56%
(
32 of
57)
1st Serve %
50%
(
24 of
48)
6
Aces
2
5
Double Faults
4
72%
(
23 of
32)
1st Serve Won
75%
(
18 of
24)
52%
(
13 of
25)
2nd Serve Won
29%
(
7 of
24)
80%
(
4 of
5)
Break Points Won
40%
(
2 of
5)
37%
(
21 of
57)
Rtn Points Won
48%
(
23 of
48)
59
Total Points Won
46
|
6-4 6-3 | H2H | ||
| F |
Stats
Elena Rybakina
Player
Marta Kostyuk
64%
(
37 of
58)
1st Serve %
52%
(
25 of
48)
0
Aces
0
2
Double Faults
6
81%
(
30 of
37)
1st Serve Won
56%
(
14 of
25)
48%
(
10 of
21)
2nd Serve Won
43%
(
10 of
23)
67%
(
4 of
6)
Break Points Won
0%
(
0 of
3)
31%
(
18 of
58)
Rtn Points Won
50%
(
24 of
48)
64
Total Points Won
42
|
6-2 6-2 | H2H | ||
| SF |
Stats
Elena Rybakina
Player
Iga Swiatek
60%
(
63 of
105)
1st Serve %
57%
(
60 of
106)
10
Aces
0
5
Double Faults
7
70%
(
44 of
63)
1st Serve Won
65%
(
39 of
60)
45%
(
19 of
42)
2nd Serve Won
48%
(
22 of
46)
20%
(
4 of
20)
Break Points Won
15%
(
2 of
13)
40%
(
42 of
105)
Rtn Points Won
42%
(
45 of
106)
108
Total Points Won
103
|
6-3 4-6 6-3 | H2H | ||
| QF |
Stats
Elena Rybakina
Player
Jasmine Paolini
62%
(
51 of
82)
1st Serve %
67%
(
68 of
101)
7
Aces
0
2
Double Faults
1
65%
(
33 of
51)
1st Serve Won
63%
(
43 of
68)
58%
(
18 of
31)
2nd Serve Won
39%
(
13 of
33)
40%
(
6 of
15)
Break Points Won
57%
(
4 of
7)
38%
(
31 of
82)
Rtn Points Won
45%
(
45 of
101)
96
Total Points Won
87
|
6-3 5-7 6-3 | H2H | ||
| R2 |
Stats
Elena Rybakina
Player
Veronika Kudermetova
63%
(
64 of
101)
1st Serve %
62%
(
58 of
93)
9
Aces
5
3
Double Faults
2
66%
(
42 of
64)
1st Serve Won
69%
(
40 of
58)
38%
(
14 of
37)
2nd Serve Won
43%
(
15 of
35)
44%
(
4 of
9)
Break Points Won
45%
(
5 of
11)
45%
(
45 of
101)
Rtn Points Won
41%
(
38 of
93)
94
Total Points Won
100
|
7-6(3) 1-6 6-4 | H2H | ||
| F |
Stats
Danielle Rose Collins
Player
Elena Rybakina
62%
(
59 of
95)
1st Serve %
53%
(
33 of
62)
4
Aces
5
3
Double Faults
0
75%
(
44 of
59)
1st Serve Won
70%
(
23 of
33)
42%
(
15 of
36)
2nd Serve Won
55%
(
16 of
29)
43%
(
3 of
7)
Break Points Won
9%
(
1 of
11)
38%
(
36 of
95)
Rtn Points Won
37%
(
23 of
62)
82
Total Points Won
75
|
7-5 6-3 | H2H | ||
view more
Aryna Sabalenka Recent Matches Played
Before:
| opponent | Score | H2H | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| QF |
Stats
Aryna Sabalenka
Player
Jelena Ostapenko
76%
(
37 of
49)
1st Serve %
73%
(
46 of
63)
2
Aces
3
1
Double Faults
4
81%
(
30 of
37)
1st Serve Won
67%
(
31 of
46)
50%
(
6 of
12)
2nd Serve Won
35%
(
6 of
17)
43%
(
3 of
7)
Break Points Won
0%
(
0 of
0)
27%
(
13 of
49)
Rtn Points Won
41%
(
26 of
63)
62
Total Points Won
50
|
6-2 6-4 | H2H | ||
| R4 |
Stats
Aryna Sabalenka
Player
Elina Svitolina
72%
(
85 of
118)
1st Serve %
52%
(
44 of
85)
3
Aces
2
1
Double Faults
6
58%
(
49 of
85)
1st Serve Won
66%
(
29 of
44)
48%
(
16 of
33)
2nd Serve Won
37%
(
15 of
41)
86%
(
6 of
7)
Break Points Won
28%
(
5 of
18)
45%
(
53 of
118)
Rtn Points Won
48%
(
41 of
85)
106
Total Points Won
97
|
4-6 6-1 7-6(7) | H2H | ||
| R3 |
Stats
Aryna Sabalenka
Player
Dayana Yastremska
66%
(
33 of
50)
1st Serve %
60%
(
42 of
70)
1
Aces
2
3
Double Faults
4
76%
(
25 of
33)
1st Serve Won
62%
(
26 of
42)
76%
(
13 of
17)
2nd Serve Won
50%
(
14 of
28)
30%
(
3 of
10)
Break Points Won
0%
(
0 of
2)
24%
(
12 of
50)
Rtn Points Won
43%
(
30 of
70)
68
Total Points Won
52
|
6-4 6-2 | H2H | ||
| R2 |
Stats
Aryna Sabalenka
Player
Katie Volynets
69%
(
68 of
98)
1st Serve %
78%
(
73 of
94)
3
Aces
1
4
Double Faults
3
63%
(
43 of
68)
1st Serve Won
51%
(
37 of
73)
40%
(
12 of
30)
2nd Serve Won
43%
(
9 of
21)
54%
(
7 of
13)
Break Points Won
31%
(
5 of
16)
44%
(
43 of
98)
Rtn Points Won
51%
(
48 of
94)
103
Total Points Won
89
|
4-6 6-3 6-2 | H2H | ||
| F |
Stats
Iga Swiatek
Player
Aryna Sabalenka
66%
(
78 of
119)
1st Serve %
58%
(
68 of
118)
2
Aces
4
4
Double Faults
4
67%
(
52 of
78)
1st Serve Won
68%
(
46 of
68)
51%
(
21 of
41)
2nd Serve Won
48%
(
24 of
50)
42%
(
5 of
12)
Break Points Won
38%
(
5 of
13)
39%
(
46 of
119)
Rtn Points Won
41%
(
48 of
118)
121
Total Points Won
116
|
7-5 4-6 7-6(7) | H2H | ||
| SF |
Stats
Aryna Sabalenka
Player
Elena Rybakina
64%
(
56 of
88)
1st Serve %
61%
(
65 of
106)
4
Aces
9
4
Double Faults
3
77%
(
43 of
56)
1st Serve Won
71%
(
46 of
65)
50%
(
16 of
32)
2nd Serve Won
59%
(
24 of
41)
38%
(
3 of
8)
Break Points Won
40%
(
4 of
10)
33%
(
29 of
88)
Rtn Points Won
34%
(
36 of
106)
95
Total Points Won
99
|
1-6 7-5 7-6(5) | H2H | ||
| QF |
Stats
Aryna Sabalenka
Player
Mirra Andreeva
65%
(
34 of
52)
1st Serve %
53%
(
31 of
58)
2
Aces
3
1
Double Faults
2
79%
(
27 of
34)
1st Serve Won
65%
(
20 of
31)
61%
(
11 of
18)
2nd Serve Won
41%
(
11 of
27)
60%
(
3 of
5)
Break Points Won
0%
(
0 of
0)
27%
(
14 of
52)
Rtn Points Won
47%
(
27 of
58)
65
Total Points Won
45
|
6-1 6-4 | H2H | ||
| R4 |
Stats
Aryna Sabalenka
Player
Danielle Rose Collins
66%
(
60 of
91)
1st Serve %
52%
(
48 of
93)
4
Aces
5
4
Double Faults
4
68%
(
41 of
60)
1st Serve Won
69%
(
33 of
48)
45%
(
14 of
31)
2nd Serve Won
40%
(
18 of
45)
67%
(
6 of
9)
Break Points Won
36%
(
4 of
11)
40%
(
36 of
91)
Rtn Points Won
45%
(
42 of
93)
97
Total Points Won
87
|
4-6 6-4 6-3 | H2H | ||
| R3 |
Stats
Aryna Sabalenka
Player
Robin Montgomery
71%
(
72 of
101)
1st Serve %
55%
(
53 of
96)
8
Aces
6
4
Double Faults
4
71%
(
51 of
72)
1st Serve Won
66%
(
35 of
53)
62%
(
18 of
29)
2nd Serve Won
49%
(
21 of
43)
50%
(
4 of
8)
Break Points Won
33%
(
1 of
3)
32%
(
32 of
101)
Rtn Points Won
42%
(
40 of
96)
109
Total Points Won
88
|
6-1 6-7(5) 6-4 | H2H | ||
| R2 |
Stats
Aryna Sabalenka
Player
Magda Linette
58%
(
52 of
90)
1st Serve %
65%
(
60 of
92)
10
Aces
3
6
Double Faults
1
79%
(
41 of
52)
1st Serve Won
68%
(
41 of
60)
47%
(
18 of
38)
2nd Serve Won
63%
(
20 of
32)
33%
(
2 of
6)
Break Points Won
11%
(
1 of
9)
34%
(
31 of
90)
Rtn Points Won
34%
(
31 of
92)
90
Total Points Won
92
|
6-4 3-6 6-3 | H2H | ||
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